Mean-univariate GARCH VaR portfolio optimization: Actual portfolio approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
In accordance with Basel Capital Accords, the Capital Requirements (CR) for market risk exposure of banks is a nonlinear function of Value-at-Risk (VaR). Importantly, the CR is calculated based on a bank’s actual portfolio, i.e. the portfolio represented by its current holdings. To tackle mean-VaR portfolio optimization within the actual portfolio framework (APF), we propose a novel mean-VaR optimization method where VaR is estimated using a univariate Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) volatility model. The optimization was performed by employing a Nondominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II). On a sample of 40 large US stocks, our procedure provided superior mean-VaR trade-offs compared to those obtained from applying more customary meanmultivariate GARCH and historical VaR models. The results hold true in both low and high volatility samples.
منابع مشابه
Intra - Daily Fx Optimal Portfolio Allocation
We design and implement optimal foreign exchange portfolio allocations. An optimal allocation maximizes the expected return subject to a Value-at-Risk (VaR) constraint. Based on intradaily data, the optimization procedure is carried out at regular time intervals. For the estimation of the conditional variance from which the VaR is computed, we use univariate and multivariate GARCH models. The r...
متن کاملبهینهسازی سبد سهام در چارچوب ارزش در معرض خطر: مقایسه روشهای MS-GARCH و بوت استرپینگ
The main goal of this research is to calculate VaR index with parametric Markov-Switching GARCH approach for accepted companies in Tehran Stock Exchange and also selecting the optimal portfolio of their stocks. To calculate the index, data and information of weekly stock price of 10 representative firms during the period 2008-2014 has been used which account for 332 working weeks.The results fr...
متن کاملTime-varying joint distribution through copulas
This paper deals with the analysis of temporal dependence in multivariate time series. The dependence structure between the marginal series is modelled through the use of copulas which, unlike the correlation matrix, give a complete description of the joint distribution. The parameters of the copula function vary through time following certain evolution equations depending on their previous val...
متن کاملUsing Conditional Copula to Estimate Value-at-Risk in Vietnam's Foreign Exchange Market
In this paper, we briefly review the basics of copula theory and the problem of estimating Value at Risk (VaR) of portfolio composed by several assets. We present two VaR estimation models in which each return series is assumed to follow AR(1)-GARCH(1, 1) model and the innovations are simultaneously generated using Gaussian copula and Student t copula. The presented models are applied to estima...
متن کاملEstimating Risk of Natural Gas Portfolios by Using GARCH-EVT-Copula Model
This paper concentrates on estimating the risk of Title Transfer Facility (TTF) Hub natural gas portfolios by using the GARCH-EVT-copula model. We first use the univariate ARMA-GARCH model to model each natural gas return series. Second, the extreme value distribution (EVT) is fitted to the tails of the residuals to model marginal residual distributions. Third, multivariate Gaussian copula and ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Computers & OR
دوره 72 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2016